Value bet: Hwaseong to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAsan Mugunghwa to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓10% · fair 10.03
Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong preview and prediction
The match
Asan Mugunghwa host Hwaseong in the K League 2 on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Yishunsin Stadium. Asan Mugunghwa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Hwaseong sit 6th on 48 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Asan Mugunghwa's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Seongnam FC 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Hwaseong's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Yongin City 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.2 for Hwaseong. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Asan Mugunghwa 43%, draw 23%, Hwaseong 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Hwaseong to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Asan Mugunghwa 1–1 Hwaseong. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Asan Mugunghwa43%fair 2.33 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Hwaseong34%fair 2.96 · @3.60
2.66Expected goals
1.43Asan Mugunghwa xG
1.23Hwaseong xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Asan Mugunghwa 1.4 – 1.2 Hwaseong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Asan Mugunghwa to win✓
43%
2.33
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Asan Mugunghwa / FT Asan Mugunghwa✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
10%
10.03
–
Form
Asan Mugunghwa – last 3
LLW
21 Mar
@ Seongnam FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Daegu FC
2–3
L
2 Mar
vs Paju Citizen
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hwaseong – last 4
DDWL
22 Mar
vs Yongin City
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Cheonan City
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Gimhae City
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Daegu FC
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asan Mugunghwa and Hwaseong.
What is the prediction for Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?
On our numbers Asan Mugunghwa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hwaseong 34%.
How many goals will there be in Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?
Our predicted score is Asan Mugunghwa 1–1 Hwaseong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?
Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Yishunsin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
