Value bet: Paju Citizen to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJeonnam Dragons to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons preview and prediction
The match
Jeonnam Dragons travel to Paju Stadium in the K League 2 on Saturday 21 March (06:00 WAT) to face Paju Citizen. Paju Citizen are 10th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Jeonnam Dragons sit 16th on 25 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Paju Citizen's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Ansan Greeners 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Jeonnam Dragons's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Suwon Bluewings 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Paju Citizen and 1.7 for Jeonnam Dragons. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Paju Citizen to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Paju Citizen 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paju Citizen33%fair 3.02 · @3.45
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
Jeonnam Dragons46%fair 2.17 · @2.00
3.14Expected goals
1.42Paju Citizen xG
1.72Jeonnam Dragons xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–26%
0–26%
From our goals model: Paju Citizen 1.4 – 1.7 Jeonnam Dragons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jeonnam Dragons to win✗
46%
2.17
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jeonnam Dragons / FT Jeonnam Dragons✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.00
–
Form
Paju Citizen – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
@ Ansan Greeners
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Suwon Bluewings
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Asan Mugunghwa
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jeonnam Dragons – last 3
LLW
14 Mar
@ Suwon Bluewings
0–2
L
7 Mar
@ Daegu FC
2–4
L
1 Mar
@ Gyeongnam FC
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paju Citizen and Jeonnam Dragons.
What is the prediction for Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
On our numbers Paju Citizen have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jeonnam Dragons 46%.
How many goals will there be in Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Our predicted score is Paju Citizen 1–1 Jeonnam Dragons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons?
Paju Citizen vs Jeonnam Dragons (K League 2) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Paju Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
