Value bet: Ansan Greeners to win @ 3.80 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBusan I Park to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park preview and prediction
The match
Ansan Greeners host Busan I Park in the K League 2 on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ansan WA Stadium. Ansan Greeners are 15th with 26 points from 31 games (in the bottom three), while Busan I Park sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ansan Greeners and 1.6 for Busan I Park. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 49% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ansan Greeners 34%, draw 22%, Busan I Park 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ansan Greeners to win at 3.80 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.38, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ansan Greeners 1–1 Busan I Park. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ansan Greeners34%fair 2.94 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Busan I Park44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
2.94Expected goals
1.36Ansan Greeners xG
1.58Busan I Park xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ansan Greeners 1.4 – 1.6 Busan I Park expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan I Park to win✓
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan I Park / FT Busan I Park✓
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Form
Ansan Greeners – last 1
W
28 Feb
@ Gimhae City
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Busan I Park – last 1
D
2 Mar
vs Seongnam FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ansan Greeners and Busan I Park.
What is the prediction for Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?
On our numbers Ansan Greeners have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Busan I Park 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?
Our predicted score is Ansan Greeners 1–1 Busan I Park, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?
Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park (K League 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ansan WA Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
