Value bet: Sporting San Miguelito to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting San Miguelito to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceSporting San Miguelito or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.89
Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC preview and prediction
The match
Sporting San Miguelito host San Francisco FC in the Liga Panameña De Fútbol on Monday 30 March, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Los Andes II. Sporting San Miguelito are 8th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while San Francisco FC sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sporting San Miguelito's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Veraguas 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
San Francisco FC's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Tauro FC 1–4 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Sporting San Miguelito and 0.8 for San Francisco FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting San Miguelito 63%, draw 23%, San Francisco FC 14%.
Safer route: Sporting San Miguelito or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Sporting San Miguelito to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sporting San Miguelito 2–0 San Francisco FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting San Miguelito63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.35
San Francisco FC14%fair 7.31 · @4.65
2.72Expected goals
1.92Sporting San Miguelito xG
0.80San Francisco FC xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sporting San Miguelito 1.9 – 0.8 San Francisco FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting San Miguelito to win✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Sporting San Miguelito or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Sporting San Miguelito ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting San Miguelito / FT Sporting San Miguelito✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
Sporting San Miguelito – last 5
LDDDD
23 Mar
vs Veraguas
2–3
L
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Universitario
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Independiente de La Chorrera
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
San Francisco FC – last 5
LLLDW
21 Mar
vs Tauro FC
1–4
L
14 Mar
vs CD Arabe Unido
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Plaza Amador
1–2
L
3 Mar
@ Alianza FC
3–3
D
21 Feb
vs UMECIT
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting San Miguelito and San Francisco FC.
What is the prediction for Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC?
On our numbers Sporting San Miguelito have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Francisco FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC?
Our predicted score is Sporting San Miguelito 2–0 San Francisco FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC?
Sporting San Miguelito vs San Francisco FC (Liga Panameña De Fútbol) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Los Andes II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
