Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Union Cocle to win @ 2.96 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Cocle to win38% · @2.96
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.30
Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito preview and prediction
The match
Union Cocle host Sporting San Miguelito in the Liga Panameña De Fútbol on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Virgilio Tejeira Andrion. Union Cocle are 12th with 5 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Sporting San Miguelito sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting San Miguelito's last 4: DDDD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Universitario 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Union Cocle and 1.0 for Sporting San Miguelito. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Cocle 38%, draw 26%, Sporting San Miguelito 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Union Cocle to win at 2.96 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Union Cocle 1–0 Sporting San Miguelito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Cocle38%fair 2.63 · @2.96
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
Sporting San Miguelito36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
2.01Expected goals
1.02Union Cocle xG
0.99Sporting San Miguelito xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union Cocle 1.0 – 1.0 Sporting San Miguelito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Cocle to win
38%
2.63
2.96 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.30
–
Form
Union Cocle – last 2
WW
28 Feb
@ Tauro FC
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs CD Arabe Unido
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sporting San Miguelito – last 4
DDDD
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Universitario
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Independiente de La Chorrera
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Cocle and Sporting San Miguelito.
What is the prediction for Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito?
On our numbers Union Cocle have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sporting San Miguelito 36%.
How many goals will there be in Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito?
Our predicted score is Union Cocle 1–0 Sporting San Miguelito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito?
Union Cocle vs Sporting San Miguelito (Liga Panameña De Fútbol) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Virgilio Tejeira Andrion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
