Value bet: Victoria to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVictoria to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Juticalpa vs Victoria preview and prediction
The match
Juticalpa host Victoria in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Form guide
Juticalpa's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to CD Motagua 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Victoria's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Olancho 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Victoria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Juticalpa and 1.5 for Victoria. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juticalpa 36%, draw 24%, Victoria 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Victoria to win at 2.85 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Juticalpa 1–1 Victoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juticalpa36%fair 2.78 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
Victoria40%fair 2.49 · @2.85
2.99Expected goals
1.45Juticalpa xG
1.54Victoria xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Juticalpa 1.4 – 1.5 Victoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoria to win✗
40%
2.49
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoria / FT Victoria✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Juticalpa – last 3
LLL
26 Feb
vs CD Motagua
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Platense FC
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Olancho
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Victoria – last 3
WLW
25 Feb
vs Olancho
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Atlético Choloma
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs CD Olimpia
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juticalpa and Victoria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Juticalpa vs Victoria?
On our numbers Juticalpa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Victoria 40%.
How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs Victoria?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs Victoria?
Our predicted score is Juticalpa 1–1 Victoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Juticalpa vs Victoria?
Juticalpa vs Victoria (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
