The Liga Nacional sees CD Olimpia take on CD Motagua on Monday 23 February, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles. CD Olimpia are 1st with 33 points from 14 games (top of the table), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for CD Olimpia and 1.0 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Olimpia 52%, draw 25%, CD Motagua 22%.
Safer route: CD Olimpia or draw (78%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Olimpia or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: CD Olimpia 1–0 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Olimpia52%fair 1.91 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
CD Motagua22%fair 4.45 · @3.55
2.59Expected goals
1.61CD Olimpia xG
0.97CD Motagua xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: CD Olimpia 1.6 – 1.0 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Olimpia to win✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Double chance
CD Olimpia or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Olimpia / FT CD Olimpia✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
CD Olimpia – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Victoria
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs CD Marathon
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Olimpia and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is CD Olimpia or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers CD Olimpia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Motagua 22%.
How many goals will there be in CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is CD Olimpia 1–0 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua?
CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
