Olancho host CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Olancho are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Olancho and 1.5 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olancho 33%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.66.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Olancho 1–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olancho33%fair 3.00 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
CD Marathon45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
2.82Expected goals
1.28Olancho xG
1.54CD Marathon xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.3 – 1.5 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Olancho – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Juticalpa
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Marathon – last 2
DD
16 Feb
@ CD Motagua
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and CD Marathon.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Olancho vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers Olancho have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 45%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs CD Marathon?
Olancho vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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