Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Olancho to win @ 1.77 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlancho to win ✓65% · @1.77
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Olancho vs Juticalpa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Olancho take on Juticalpa on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Olancho are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Juticalpa sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Olancho and 0.9 for Juticalpa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Value angle: Olancho to win at 1.77 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Olancho 2–0 Juticalpa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olancho65%fair 1.54 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
Juticalpa15%fair 6.60 · @3.85
3.09Expected goals
2.15Olancho xG
0.94Juticalpa xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Olancho 2.2 – 0.9 Juticalpa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✓
65%
1.54
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Olancho ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Olancho
No recent results on record.
Juticalpa
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Juticalpa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Olancho vs Juticalpa?
On our numbers Olancho have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Juticalpa 15%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Juticalpa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Juticalpa?
Our predicted score is Olancho 2–0 Juticalpa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Juticalpa?
Olancho vs Juticalpa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
