Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
CD Marathon vs Platense FC preview and prediction
The match
Platense FC travel to Estadio Yankel Rosenthal in the Liga Nacional on Friday 13 February (02:30 WAT) to face CD Marathon. CD Marathon are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Platense FC sit 11th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for CD Marathon and 0.7 for Platense FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Marathon 67%, draw 20%, Platense FC 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Marathon to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CD Marathon 1–0 Platense FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Marathon67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.60
Platense FC14%fair 7.35 · @5.10
2.64Expected goals
1.93CD Marathon xG
0.71Platense FC xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.9 – 0.7 Platense FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Marathon to win✗
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
CD Marathon or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
CD Marathon ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
CD Marathon
No recent results on record.
Platense FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CD Marathon and Platense FC.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Platense FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–0 Platense FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Platense FC?
CD Marathon vs Platense FC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
