Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 62% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✗47% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.85
Aberdeen vs Motherwell preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Aberdeen take on Motherwell on Wednesday 18 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Motherwell 2–0 Aberdeen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Aberdeen and 1.0 for Motherwell. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 – 62% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aberdeen 0–1 Motherwell. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aberdeen32%fair 3.16 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Motherwell47%fair 2.15 · @2.12
1.81Expected goals
0.77Aberdeen xG
1.04Motherwell xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Aberdeen 0.8 – 1.0 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Aberdeen have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motherwell 47%.
How many goals will there be in Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Aberdeen 0–1 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Aberdeen vs Motherwell?
Aberdeen vs Motherwell (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pittodrie Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
