Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Rustavi to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRustavi to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceRustavi or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.20
Gagra vs Rustavi preview and prediction
The match
Gagra host Rustavi in the Erovnuli Liga on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at David Petriashvili Stadium. Gagra are 9th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Rustavi sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gagra's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Rustavi 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rustavi's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Gagra 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rustavi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 October 2026, finished Gagra 2–1 Rustavi. Across their last 3 meetings Gagra have won 2, Rustavi 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Gagra and 1.8 for Rustavi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gagra 13%, draw 22%, Rustavi 65%.
Safer route: Rustavi or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Rustavi to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rustavi or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gagra 0–1 Rustavi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gagra13%fair 7.98 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Rustavi65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
2.40Expected goals
0.62Gagra xG
1.78Rustavi xG
44%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
0–09%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Gagra 0.6 – 1.8 Rustavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rustavi or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gagra vs Rustavi?
On our numbers Gagra have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rustavi 65%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Rustavi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Rustavi?
Our predicted score is Gagra 0–1 Rustavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Rustavi?
Gagra vs Rustavi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
