Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamgurali to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓12% · fair 8.31
Samgurali vs Meshakhte preview and prediction
The match
Samgurali host Meshakhte in the Erovnuli Liga on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Samgurali are 7th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Meshakhte sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Samgurali's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Gagra 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Meshakhte's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to FC Iberia 1999 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Meshakhte 1–2 Samgurali. Across their last 4 meetings Samgurali have won 2, Meshakhte 0, with 2 draws and 1.8 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Samgurali and 0.8 for Meshakhte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Samgurali to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Samgurali 2–0 Meshakhte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samgurali66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.60
Meshakhte14%fair 7.39 · @5.00
2.86Expected goals
2.05Samgurali xG
0.81Meshakhte xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Samgurali 2.1 – 0.8 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Our pick is Samgurali to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Meshakhte 14%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 2–0 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Meshakhte?
Samgurali vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
