Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Torpedo Kutaisi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Torpedo Kutaisi take on Samgurali on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia. Torpedo Kutaisi are 5th with 43 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Samgurali sit 7th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Torpedo Kutaisi's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Gagra 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Samgurali's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Dila 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Samgurali 2–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. Across their last 2 meetings Torpedo Kutaisi have won 1, Samgurali 1, with 0 draws and 5.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.0 for Samgurali. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Torpedo Kutaisi to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Kutaisi63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.89 · @3.30
Samgurali20%fair 5.10 · @3.25
2.94Expected goals
1.98Torpedo Kutaisi xG
0.96Samgurali xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Torpedo Kutaisi 2.0 – 1.0 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Torpedo Kutaisi have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Samgurali 20%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ramaz Shengelia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
