Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Rustavi vs Gagra preview and prediction
The match
Rustavi host Gagra in the Erovnuli Liga on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at David Petriashvili Stadium. Rustavi are 4th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Gagra sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rustavi's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Tbilisi 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gagra's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Spaeri 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Rustavi 1–2 Gagra.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Rustavi and 0.7 for Gagra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rustavi 58%, draw 24%, Gagra 19%.
Safer route: Rustavi or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rustavi to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rustavi 1–0 Gagra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rustavi58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.00
Gagra19%fair 5.30 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.49Rustavi xG
0.70Gagra xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rustavi 1.5 – 0.7 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rustavi to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rustavi vs Gagra?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gagra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rustavi vs Gagra?
Rustavi vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
