Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Samgurali to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamgurali to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✗80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Samgurali take on Dinamo Batumi on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at 26 May Stadium. Samgurali are 7th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Dinamo Batumi sit 1st on 59 points (top of the table). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Samgurali's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Meshakhte 2–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dinamo Batumi's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Gagra 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Dinamo Batumi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Samgurali and 1.1 for Dinamo Batumi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Value angle: Samgurali to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Samgurali or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samgurali56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Dinamo Batumi20%fair 5.02 · @3.20
2.96Expected goals
1.90Samgurali xG
1.06Dinamo Batumi xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.9 – 1.1 Dinamo Batumi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our pick is Samgurali or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dinamo Batumi 20%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Dinamo Batumi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
