Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Samgurali to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamgurali to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Meshakhte vs Samgurali preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Meshakhte take on Samgurali on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Agrano Vachadze Stadium. Meshakhte are 10th with 20 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Samgurali sit 7th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Meshakhte's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Samgurali 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Samgurali's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Meshakhte 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samgurali arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Samgurali 0–0 Meshakhte. Across their last 3 meetings Meshakhte have won 0, Samgurali 1, with 2 draws and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Meshakhte and 1.9 for Samgurali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Samgurali to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Samgurali or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Meshakhte 0–1 Samgurali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Meshakhte16%fair 6.08 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Samgurali61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
2.71Expected goals
0.85Meshakhte xG
1.85Samgurali xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Meshakhte 0.9 – 1.9 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Meshakhte vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Samgurali or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Meshakhte vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Meshakhte have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Samgurali 61%.
How many goals will there be in Meshakhte vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Meshakhte vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Meshakhte 0–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Meshakhte vs Samgurali?
Meshakhte vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Agrano Vachadze Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
