Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Tbilisi host Samgurali in the Erovnuli Liga on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Samgurali sit 7th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Tbilisi's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Gagra 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Samgurali's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Torpedo Kutaisi 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.8 for Samgurali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dinamo Tbilisi to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Samgurali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Tbilisi61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.20
Samgurali18%fair 5.45 · @4.33
2.65Expected goals
1.80Dinamo Tbilisi xG
0.85Samgurali xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.8 – 0.8 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Tbilisi to win✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Dinamo Tbilisi ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6
LWLDWW
14 Jun
@ Gagra
1–2
L
30 May
@ Meshakhte
6–1
W
24 May
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
0–1
L
20 May
@ Dila
0–0
D
11 May
@ Rustavi
3–2
W
7 May
vs Spaeri
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 6
WWLDWL
13 Jun
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2–1
W
25 May
vs Saburtalo
3–2
W
21 May
@ Rustavi
0–1
L
17 May
vs Spaeri
0–0
D
6 May
vs Meshakhte
3–1
W
21 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
1–6
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Our pick is Dinamo Tbilisi to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Dinamo Tbilisi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Samgurali 18%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali?
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
