Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Torpedo Kutaisi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Torpedo Kutaisi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceTorpedo Kutaisi or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi preview and prediction
The match
Samgurali host Torpedo Kutaisi in the Erovnuli Liga on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at 26 May Stadium. Samgurali are 7th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Samgurali's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Saburtalo 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Torpedo Kutaisi's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Gagra 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Torpedo Kutaisi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Torpedo Kutaisi 6–1 Samgurali.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Samgurali and 1.8 for Torpedo Kutaisi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Torpedo Kutaisi or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Torpedo Kutaisi to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Torpedo Kutaisi or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Samgurali 0–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samgurali19%fair 5.30 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.20
Torpedo Kutaisi59%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.72Expected goals
0.90Samgurali xG
1.82Torpedo Kutaisi xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: Samgurali 0.9 – 1.8 Torpedo Kutaisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Kutaisi 59%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 0–1 Torpedo Kutaisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
