Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rustavi to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRustavi to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceRustavi or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.36
Rustavi vs Spaeri preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Rustavi take on Spaeri on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at David Petriashvili Stadium. Rustavi are 4th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Spaeri sit 8th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rustavi's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Batumi 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spaeri's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Meshakhte 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Rustavi and 0.8 for Spaeri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rustavi 60%, draw 26%, Spaeri 14%.
Safer route: Rustavi or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Rustavi to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rustavi or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rustavi 1–0 Spaeri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rustavi60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.25
Spaeri14%fair 7.29 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.81Rustavi xG
0.77Spaeri xG
45%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rustavi 1.8 – 0.8 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rustavi to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Rustavi or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Rustavi ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rustavi / FT Rustavi✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
13.36
–
Form
Rustavi – last 6
LWLDWD
25 May
@ Dinamo Batumi
0–1
L
21 May
vs Samgurali
1–0
W
11 May
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2–3
L
5 May
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
1–1
D
1 May
vs Dila
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Spaeri – last 6
WDDWLD
25 May
vs Meshakhte
2–1
W
21 May
vs Dinamo Batumi
3–3
D
17 May
@ Samgurali
0–0
D
11 May
vs Gagra
3–0
W
7 May
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–2
L
1 May
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rustavi and Spaeri.
Our pick is Rustavi or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rustavi vs Spaeri?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spaeri 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Spaeri?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Spaeri?
Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–0 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rustavi vs Spaeri?
Rustavi vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
