The Erovnuli Liga sees Samgurali take on Saburtalo on Monday 25 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at 26 May Stadium. Samgurali are 7th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Saburtalo sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Samgurali's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Rustavi 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Saburtalo's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Gagra 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saburtalo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 April 2026, finished Saburtalo 2–1 Samgurali.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Samgurali and 1.4 for Saburtalo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Samgurali 1–1 Saburtalo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samgurali27%fair 3.71 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @2.90
Saburtalo50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
2.39Expected goals
0.96Samgurali xG
1.43Saburtalo xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.0 – 1.4 Saburtalo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Saburtalo 50%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Saburtalo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Samgurali vs Saburtalo (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
