Samgurali travel to David Petriashvili Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga on Thursday 21 May (18:00 WAT) to face Rustavi. Rustavi are 4th with 56 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Samgurali sit 7th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rustavi's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tbilisi 2–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Samgurali's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Spaeri 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Samgurali 2–1 Rustavi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Rustavi and 0.9 for Samgurali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Rustavi 1–1 Samgurali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rustavi48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Samgurali28%fair 3.63 · @3.30
2.53Expected goals
1.59Rustavi xG
0.94Samgurali xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Rustavi 1.6 – 0.9 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Rustavi
Samgurali
Attack vs Erovnuli Liga average
-8%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
+29%
Our expected goals here
1.74
0.87
Our own ratings from every Erovnuli Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rustavi vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Rustavi have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samgurali 28%.
How many goals will there be in Rustavi vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Rustavi 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rustavi vs Samgurali?
Rustavi vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
