Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaburtalo to win ✓67% · @1.50
Double chanceSaburtalo or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Saburtalo vs Gagra preview and prediction
The match
Gagra travel to Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga on Wednesday 20 May (16:00 WAT) to face Saburtalo. Saburtalo are 2nd with 59 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Gagra sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Saburtalo's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Dila 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gagra's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Spaeri 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Saburtalo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished Gagra 1–2 Saburtalo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Saburtalo and 0.6 for Gagra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saburtalo 67%, draw 23%, Gagra 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saburtalo to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Saburtalo 1–0 Gagra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saburtalo67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Gagra10%fair 10.00 · @6.00
2.35Expected goals
1.79Saburtalo xG
0.56Gagra xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Saburtalo 1.8 – 0.6 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Saburtalo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Gagra?
On our numbers Saburtalo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gagra 10%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo 1–0 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo vs Gagra?
Saburtalo vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
