Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSamgurali to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Samgurali vs Spaeri preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Samgurali take on Spaeri on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at 26 May Stadium. Samgurali are 7th with 39 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Spaeri sit 8th on 31 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Samgurali's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Meshakhte 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Spaeri's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Gagra 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Spaeri 4–1 Samgurali.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Samgurali and 1.4 for Spaeri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Samgurali 40%, draw 24%, Spaeri 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Samgurali 1–1 Spaeri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Samgurali40%fair 2.51 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Spaeri36%fair 2.79 · @2.90
2.79Expected goals
1.44Samgurali xG
1.35Spaeri xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Samgurali 1.4 – 1.4 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Samgurali vs Spaeri?
On our numbers Samgurali have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spaeri 36%.
How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Spaeri?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Our predicted score is Samgurali 1–1 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Samgurali vs Spaeri?
Samgurali vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at 26 May Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
