Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Spaeri vs Gagra preview and prediction
The match
The Erovnuli Liga sees Spaeri take on Gagra on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Spaeri Stadium. Spaeri are 8th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Gagra sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spaeri's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Dinamo Tbilisi 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gagra's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Dinamo Batumi 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Gagra 0–3 Spaeri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Spaeri and 1.2 for Gagra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spaeri 42%, draw 24%, Gagra 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Spaeri 1–1 Gagra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spaeri42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Gagra34%fair 2.90 · @3.00
2.51Expected goals
1.33Spaeri xG
1.18Gagra xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.3 – 1.2 Gagra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Spaeri vs Gagra?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gagra 34%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Gagra?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Gagra?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 1–1 Gagra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Gagra?
Spaeri vs Gagra (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
