Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi prediction & analysis
56%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.70
4/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Torpedo Kutaisi to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaburtalo to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.52
Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi preview and prediction
The match
Torpedo Kutaisi travel to Mikheil Meskhi Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga on Sunday 10 May (16:00 WAT) to face Saburtalo. Saburtalo are 2nd with 59 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Saburtalo's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Dila 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torpedo Kutaisi's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Rustavi 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Torpedo Kutaisi 1–0 Saburtalo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Saburtalo and 1.1 for Torpedo Kutaisi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: Torpedo Kutaisi to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Saburtalo 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saburtalo45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Torpedo Kutaisi33%fair 3.04 · @3.40
2.44Expected goals
1.34Saburtalo xG
1.09Torpedo Kutaisi xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Saburtalo 1.3 – 1.1 Torpedo Kutaisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
On our numbers Saburtalo have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Kutaisi 33%.
How many goals will there be in Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our predicted score is Saburtalo 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Saburtalo vs Torpedo Kutaisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
