Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Dinamo Tbilisi to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Tbilisi to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceDinamo Tbilisi or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri preview and prediction
The match
Dinamo Tbilisi host Spaeri in the Erovnuli Liga on Thursday 7 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. Dinamo Tbilisi are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Spaeri sit 8th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dinamo Tbilisi's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Gagra 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spaeri's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Torpedo Kutaisi 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Spaeri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.8 for Spaeri. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Dinamo Tbilisi or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Dinamo Tbilisi to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dinamo Tbilisi or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Spaeri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dinamo Tbilisi61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.20
Spaeri16%fair 6.36 · @3.70
2.68Expected goals
1.87Dinamo Tbilisi xG
0.80Spaeri xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dinamo Tbilisi 1.9 – 0.8 Spaeri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
Attack vs Erovnuli Liga average
+17%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-27%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.09
0.86
Our own ratings from every Erovnuli Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Tbilisi to win✓
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Dinamo Tbilisi ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Tbilisi / FT Dinamo Tbilisi✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.76
–
Form
Dinamo Tbilisi – last 6
LDDLDD
21 Apr
vs Gagra
0–1
L
17 Apr
vs Meshakhte
1–1
D
7 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Dila
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Saburtalo
0–0
D
11 Mar
vs Rustavi
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Spaeri – last 6
DLDLWW
1 May
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Saburtalo
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Dinamo Batumi
1–4
L
16 Mar
vs Samgurali
4–1
W
11 Mar
@ Gagra
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Tbilisi and Spaeri.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri?
Our pick is Dinamo Tbilisi or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri?
On our numbers Dinamo Tbilisi have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spaeri 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Spaeri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri?
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
