Value bet: Torpedo Kutaisi to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi preview and prediction
The match
Spaeri host Torpedo Kutaisi in the Erovnuli Liga on Friday 1 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Spaeri Stadium. Spaeri are 8th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spaeri's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Saburtalo 0–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Torpedo Kutaisi's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Dinamo Batumi 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Spaeri and 1.5 for Torpedo Kutaisi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Torpedo Kutaisi to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Spaeri 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spaeri28%fair 3.53 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Torpedo Kutaisi50%fair 2.01 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.07Spaeri xG
1.54Torpedo Kutaisi xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.1 – 1.5 Torpedo Kutaisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Kutaisi to win✗
50%
2.01
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
Spaeri – last 6
LDLWWW
22 Apr
vs Saburtalo
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Dinamo Batumi
1–4
L
16 Mar
vs Samgurali
4–1
W
11 Mar
@ Gagra
3–0
W
17 Feb
@ Pakhtakor
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Torpedo Kutaisi – last 6
WWDDWL
27 Apr
@ Dinamo Batumi
3–0
W
21 Apr
vs Samgurali
6–1
W
17 Apr
@ Gagra
2–2
D
7 Apr
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Meshakhte
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Dila
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spaeri and Torpedo Kutaisi.
What is the prediction for Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Kutaisi 50%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 1–1 Torpedo Kutaisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
