Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGagra to win ✗60% · @1.70
Double chanceGagra or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.74
Gagra vs Meshakhte preview and prediction
The match
Meshakhte travel to David Petriashvili Stadium in the Erovnuli Liga on Monday 27 April (16:00 WAT) to face Gagra. Gagra are 9th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Meshakhte sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Gagra's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Meshakhte's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Rustavi 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Gagra and 0.5 for Meshakhte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gagra 60%, draw 22%, Meshakhte 19%.
Safer route: Gagra or draw (81%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gagra to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Gagra 1–0 Meshakhte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gagra60%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.25
Meshakhte19%fair 5.28 · @4.33
1.81Expected goals
1.29Gagra xG
0.52Meshakhte xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gagra 1.3 – 0.5 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gagra to win✗
60%
1.68
1.70
Double chance
Gagra or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gagra / FT Gagra✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.74
–
Form
Gagra – last 6
WDDLWL
21 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Torpedo Kutaisi
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Dila
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Saburtalo
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Meshakhte – last 6
DDDLDW
22 Apr
vs Rustavi
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Spaeri
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Torpedo Kutaisi
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Dila
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Meshakhte.
Our pick is Gagra to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Gagra vs Meshakhte?
On our numbers Gagra have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Meshakhte 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Meshakhte?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Our predicted score is Gagra 1–0 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Meshakhte?
Gagra vs Meshakhte (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
