Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Kutaisi to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi preview and prediction
The match
Gagra host Torpedo Kutaisi in the Erovnuli Liga on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at David Petriashvili Stadium. Gagra are 9th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Torpedo Kutaisi sit 5th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gagra's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Dila 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Torpedo Kutaisi's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Tbilisi 0–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Torpedo Kutaisi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.7 for Gagra and 1.5 for Torpedo Kutaisi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Torpedo Kutaisi to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gagra 0–1 Torpedo Kutaisi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gagra21%fair 4.85 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
Torpedo Kutaisi59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
2.19Expected goals
0.70Gagra xG
1.49Torpedo Kutaisi xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–212%
1–112%
0–011%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Gagra 0.7 – 1.5 Torpedo Kutaisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torpedo Kutaisi to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torpedo Kutaisi / FT Torpedo Kutaisi✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.02
–
Form
Gagra – last 6
DLWLLD
7 Apr
@ Dila
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Saburtalo
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rustavi
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Spaeri
0–3
L
2 Mar
vs Samgurali
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Bunyodkor
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Kutaisi – last 5
DWLWW
7 Apr
vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Meshakhte
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Dila
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Saburtalo
1–0
W
18 Feb
@ Ayia Napa
3–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Torpedo Kutaisi.
What is the prediction for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our pick is Torpedo Kutaisi to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
On our numbers Gagra have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Torpedo Kutaisi 59%.
How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Our predicted score is Gagra 0–1 Torpedo Kutaisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi?
Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
