The Erovnuli Liga sees Spaeri take on Samgurali on Monday 16 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Spaeri Stadium. Spaeri are 8th with 31 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Samgurali sit 7th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Spaeri's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Gagra 3–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Samgurali's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Batumi 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spaeri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Spaeri and 1.3 for Samgurali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spaeri 41%, draw 25%, Samgurali 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Spaeri 1–1 Samgurali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spaeri41%fair 2.46 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25
Samgurali34%fair 2.92 · @2.60
2.74Expected goals
1.47Spaeri xG
1.27Samgurali xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Spaeri 1.5 – 1.3 Samgurali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Spaeri
Samgurali
Attack vs Erovnuli Liga average
-4%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
+29%
Our expected goals here
1.81
1.48
Our own ratings from every Erovnuli Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spaeri to win✓
41%
2.46
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spaeri / FT Spaeri✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
Spaeri – last 3
WWW
11 Mar
@ Gagra
3–0
W
17 Feb
@ Pakhtakor
4–3
W
17 Feb
@ Lokomotiv
3–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Samgurali – last 3
DDW
12 Mar
vs Dinamo Batumi
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Meshakhte
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Gagra
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spaeri and Samgurali.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Spaeri vs Samgurali?
On our numbers Spaeri have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samgurali 34%.
How many goals will there be in Spaeri vs Samgurali?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spaeri vs Samgurali?
Our predicted score is Spaeri 1–1 Samgurali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spaeri vs Samgurali?
Spaeri vs Samgurali (Erovnuli Liga) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Spaeri Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
