Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Faisaly to win ✓68% · @1.30
Double chanceAl Faisaly or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.60
Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly preview and prediction
The match
Al Buqa'a host Al Faisaly in the League on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Al Buqa'a are 5th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Al Faisaly sit 1st on 15 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Al Buqa'a and 2.3 for Al Faisaly. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Buqa'a 9%, draw 23%, Al Faisaly 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Buqa'a 0–2 Al Faisaly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Buqa'a9%fair 10.66 · @7.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.75
Al Faisaly68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
3.12Expected goals
0.83Al Buqa'a xG
2.29Al Faisaly xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al Buqa'a 0.8 – 2.3 Al Faisaly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Faisaly to win✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Al Faisaly or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.36
Half-time result
Al Faisaly ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Faisaly / FT Al Faisaly✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.60
–
Form
Al Buqa'a
No recent results on record.
Al Faisaly
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Buqa'a and Al Faisaly.
What is the prediction for Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
On our numbers Al Buqa'a have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Faisaly 68%.
How many goals will there be in Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
Our predicted score is Al Buqa'a 0–2 Al Faisaly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly?
Al Buqa'a vs Al Faisaly (League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sama Al Sarhan0