Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cardiff MET to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCardiff MET to win56% · @1.91
Double chanceCardiff MET or draw79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.87
Cardiff MET vs Bala Town preview and prediction
The match
Bala Town travel to Cyncoed Campus in the Premier League on Saturday 28 March (15:30 WAT) to face Cardiff MET.
Form guide
Cardiff MET's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat llanelli AFC 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bala Town's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with llanelli AFC 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Cardiff MET arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Cardiff MET and 0.9 for Bala Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cardiff MET 56%, draw 23%, Bala Town 21%.
Safer route: Cardiff MET or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Cardiff MET to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cardiff MET or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cardiff MET 1–0 Bala Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cardiff MET56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Bala Town21%fair 4.83 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.68Cardiff MET xG
0.90Bala Town xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cardiff MET 1.7 – 0.9 Bala Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff MET to win
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Cardiff MET or draw
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff MET / FT Cardiff MET
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.87
–
Form
Cardiff MET – last 5
WLLDD
20 Mar
@ llanelli AFC
2–1
W
16 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Flint Town United
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs llanelli AFC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Bala Town – last 3
DLL
27 Feb
vs llanelli AFC
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Briton Ferry
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff MET and Bala Town.
What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Bala Town?
Our pick is Cardiff MET or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Bala Town?
On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bala Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Bala Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Bala Town?
Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 1–0 Bala Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cardiff MET vs Bala Town?
Cardiff MET vs Bala Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
llanelli AFC1