The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
The New Saints to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.16
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction
The match
GAP Connah S Quay FC travel to Park Hall in the Premier League on Friday 3 April (14:30 WAT) to face The New Saints. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Caernarfon Town 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Barry Town 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
The New Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished GAP Connah S Quay FC 1–2 The New Saints.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for The New Saints and 1.1 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 63%, draw 18%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was The New Saints to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.00
GAP Connah S Quay FC18%fair 5.52 · @6.00
3.27Expected goals
2.20The New Saints xG
1.07GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.2 – 1.1 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is The New Saints to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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