Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Caernarfon Town take on GAP Connah S Quay FC on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Oval. Caernarfon Town are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Caernarfon Town's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Rhyl 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Caernarfon Town and 1.4 for GAP Connah S Quay FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caernarfon Town 45%, draw 21%, GAP Connah S Quay FC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caernarfon Town45%fair 2.25 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
GAP Connah S Quay FC35%fair 2.86 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.61Caernarfon Town xG
1.39GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 1.6 – 1.4 GAP Connah S Quay FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✗
45%
2.25
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Caernarfon Town – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
@ Rhyl
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Colwyn Bay
3–0
W
20 Feb
@ The New Saints
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 2
LL
3 Mar
vs The New Saints
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Barry Town
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and GAP Connah S Quay FC.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and GAP Connah S Quay FC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 1–1 GAP Connah S Quay FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC?
Caernarfon Town vs GAP Connah S Quay FC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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