Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Colwyn Bay to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay preview and prediction
The match
Caernarfon Town host Colwyn Bay in the Premier League on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Oval. Caernarfon Town are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Colwyn Bay sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Caernarfon Town and 1.3 for Colwyn Bay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caernarfon Town 45%, draw 20%, Colwyn Bay 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Colwyn Bay to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caernarfon Town45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Colwyn Bay35%fair 2.87 · @3.25
2.87Expected goals
1.55Caernarfon Town xG
1.33Colwyn Bay xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 1.5 – 1.3 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Form
Caernarfon Town – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ The New Saints
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Colwyn Bay – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Penybont
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Colwyn Bay 35%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 1–1 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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