South Melbourne vs Hekari United prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.05Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✗73% · @1.06
Double chanceSouth Melbourne or draw ✗87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.94
South Melbourne vs Hekari United preview and prediction
The match
Hekari United travel to face South Melbourne in the on Saturday 18 April (04:00 WAT).
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Bula 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Hekari United's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Auckland FC 2 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
South Melbourne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for South Melbourne and 0.9 for Hekari United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Melbourne 73%, draw 14%, Hekari United 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Melbourne 2–1 Hekari United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Melbourne73%fair 1.38 · @1.06
Draw14%fair 7.08 · @8.00
Hekari United13%fair 7.61 · @17.00
3.44Expected goals
2.51South Melbourne xG
0.93Hekari United xG
58%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: South Melbourne 2.5 – 0.9 Hekari United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✗
73%
1.38
1.06
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw✗
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
South Melbourne ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.94
–
Form
South Melbourne – last 6
WLWWLL
15 Apr
vs Bula
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Auckland FC 2
2–3
L
11 Apr
@ Preston Lions
3–0
W
31 Mar
vs Dandenong City
4–2
W
21 Mar
@ Dandenong Thunder
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Vanuatu United
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Hekari United – last 6
LLLLWL
15 Apr
@ Auckland FC 2
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Bula
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ South Island United
1–4
L
3 Mar
@ Tahiti United
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Vanuatu United
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Bula
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Melbourne and Hekari United.
What is the prediction for South Melbourne vs Hekari United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win South Melbourne vs Hekari United?
On our numbers South Melbourne have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Hekari United 13%.
How many goals will there be in South Melbourne vs Hekari United?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Hekari United?
Our predicted score is South Melbourne 2–1 Hekari United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is South Melbourne vs Hekari United?
South Melbourne vs Hekari United () kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
