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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–2
FT

Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKeflavik to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik preview and prediction

The match

The Úrvalsdeild sees Keflavik take on Valur Reykjavik on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT). Keflavik are 6th with 30 points from 27 games, while Valur Reykjavik sit 2nd on 34 points.

Form guide

Keflavik's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to FH hafnarfjordur 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Valur Reykjavik's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with IA Akranes 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.7 conceded.

Keflavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Valur Reykjavik 1–1 Keflavik.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for Keflavik and 1.6 for Valur Reykjavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Keflavik 1–1 Valur Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Keflavik47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Valur Reykjavik33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
3.55Expected goals
1.95Keflavik xG
1.60Valur Reykjavik xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Keflavik 1.9 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKeflavik to win ✗47%2.112.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultKeflavik ahead at half-time ✗37%2.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Keflavik / FT Keflavik ✗28%3.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Form

Keflavik – last 6

LWWLWL
30 Aug@ FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
23 Augvs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
15 Aug@ Thor Akureyri2–0W
9 Aug@ Stjarnan0–1L
5 Augvs KA Akureyri3–0W
24 Jul@ Vikingur Reykjavik1–5L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

DLDLWL
30 Augvs IA Akranes2–2D
23 Aug@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–2L
17 Augvs KA Akureyri4–4D
13 Aug@ FC Nordsjaelland0–5L
9 Aug@ Breidablik3–1W
6 Augvs FC Nordsjaelland0–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Valur Reykjavik v Keflavik1–1
Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

On our numbers Keflavik have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valur Reykjavik 33%.

How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik?

Keflavik vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.