Value bet: Breidablik to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBreidablik to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Breidablik vs Stjarnan preview and prediction
The match
Stjarnan travel to face Breidablik in the Úrvalsdeild on Monday 31 August (20:15 WAT). Breidablik are 5th with 36 points from 27 games, while Stjarnan sit 1st on 34 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Breidablik's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Fram Reykjavik 3–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stjarnan's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Thor Akureyri 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Stjarnan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 June 2026, finished Stjarnan 4–4 Breidablik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Breidablik and 1.4 for Stjarnan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 70%.
Value angle: Breidablik to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Breidablik 2–1 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Breidablik61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.10
Stjarnan20%fair 4.91 · @3.10
3.97Expected goals
2.53Breidablik xG
1.43Stjarnan xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Breidablik 2.5 – 1.4 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers Breidablik have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Stjarnan 20%.
How many goals will there be in Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is Breidablik 2–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Breidablik vs Stjarnan?
Breidablik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
