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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
4–2
FT

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Stjarnan to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultStjarnan to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceStjarnan or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri preview and prediction

The match

Stjarnan host Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while Thor Akureyri sit 4th on 30 points.

Form guide

Stjarnan's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Fram Reykjavik 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Thor Akureyri's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Keflavik 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Thor Akureyri 1–3 Stjarnan.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Stjarnan and 1.1 for Thor Akureyri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Stjarnan to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Stjarnan70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.80
Thor Akureyri10%fair 10.13 · @5.00
3.79Expected goals
2.73Stjarnan xG
1.06Thor Akureyri xG
67%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.7 – 1.1 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStjarnan to win ✓70%1.431.40
Double chanceStjarnan or draw ✓90%1.111.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultStjarnan ahead at half-time ✓54%1.84–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan ✓50%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Form

Stjarnan – last 6

LWWLLW
17 Aug@ Fram Reykjavik1–3L
9 Augvs Keflavik1–0W
3 Aug@ Valur Reykjavik3–2W
30 Jul@ Ilves0–1L
26 Jul@ IA Akranes1–5L
23 Julvs Ilves1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thor Akureyri – last 6

LLWDWL
15 Augvs Keflavik0–2L
9 Aug@ IA Akranes0–2L
4 Augvs Breidablik1–0W
27 Jul@ KA Akureyri0–0D
18 Julvs Vikingur Reykjavik2–1W
12 Jul@ Fram Reykjavik1–6L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Thor Akureyri v Stjarnan1–3
Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

Our pick is Stjarnan to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

On our numbers Stjarnan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Thor Akureyri 10%.

How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri?

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.