Value bet: Fram Reykjavik to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFram Reykjavik to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan preview and prediction
The match
Stjarnan travel to face Fram Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Monday 17 August (20:15 WAT). Fram Reykjavik are 3rd with 47 points from 27 games, while Stjarnan sit 1st on 34 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fram Reykjavik's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to KR Reykjavik 2–5 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Stjarnan's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Keflavik 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Stjarnan 0–1 Fram Reykjavik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for Fram Reykjavik and 1.6 for Stjarnan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 71%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fram Reykjavik 58%, draw 21%, Stjarnan 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Fram Reykjavik to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fram Reykjavik58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.20
Stjarnan21%fair 4.75 · @3.10
4.12Expected goals
2.57Fram Reykjavik xG
1.56Stjarnan xG
71%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: Fram Reykjavik 2.6 – 1.6 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers Fram Reykjavik have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stjarnan 21%.
How many goals will there be in Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?
Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.