Thor Akureyri host Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Thorsvollur. Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30 points from 27 games, while Keflavik sit 6th on 30 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Thor Akureyri's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to IA Akranes 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Keflavik's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Stjarnan 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Keflavik 1–0 Thor Akureyri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.6 for Thor Akureyri and 2.0 for Keflavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Thor Akureyri 1–2 Keflavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thor Akureyri33%fair 3.03 · @2.90
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.00
Keflavik48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
3.57Expected goals
1.60Thor Akureyri xG
1.97Keflavik xG
70%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.6 – 2.0 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Keflavik 48%.
How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–2 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik?
Thor Akureyri vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
