Wednesday, 11 November 2026 16 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
1–0
FT

Stjarnan vs Keflavik prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultStjarnan to win ✓60% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Stjarnan vs Keflavik preview and prediction

The match

Stjarnan host Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Stjarnan are 1st with 34 points from 27 games, while Keflavik sit 6th on 30 points.

Form guide

Stjarnan's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Valur Reykjavik 3–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Keflavik's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat KA Akureyri 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Keflavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Keflavik 1–1 Stjarnan.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.5 for Stjarnan and 1.5 for Keflavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Stjarnan 2–1 Keflavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Stjarnan60%fair 1.67 · @1.77
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @4.20
Keflavik22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
3.95Expected goals
2.48Stjarnan xG
1.47Keflavik xG
72%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%

From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.5 – 1.5 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStjarnan to win ✓60%1.671.77 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗72%1.391.25
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.781.65
Half-time resultStjarnan ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.49–

Form

Stjarnan – last 6

WLLWLD
3 Aug@ Valur Reykjavik3–2W
30 Jul@ Ilves0–1L
26 Jul@ IA Akranes1–5L
23 Julvs Ilves1–0W
19 Jul@ KR Reykjavik0–5L
16 Jul@ Vikingur Gota2–2D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Keflavik – last 6

WLWLDW
5 Augvs KA Akureyri3–0W
24 Jul@ Vikingur Reykjavik1–5L
20 Julvs IA Akranes5–2W
13 Jul@ Breidablik1–2L
6 Julvs Fram Reykjavik1–1D
28 Junvs KR Reykjavik3–2W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Keflavik v Stjarnan1–1
Stjarnan vs Keflavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

On our numbers Stjarnan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Keflavik 22%.

How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Stjarnan vs Keflavik?

Stjarnan vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.