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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
2–3
FT

Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultValur Reykjavik to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.10

Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan preview and prediction

The match

The Úrvalsdeild sees Valur Reykjavik take on Stjarnan on Monday 3 August, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34 points from 27 games, while Stjarnan sit 1st on 34 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Valur Reykjavik's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Zrinjski 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Stjarnan's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ilves 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 27 April 2026, finished Stjarnan 2–4 Valur Reykjavik.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for Valur Reykjavik and 1.9 for Stjarnan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 73% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Valur Reykjavik42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Stjarnan37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
3.95Expected goals
2.04Valur Reykjavik xG
1.92Stjarnan xG
73%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 2.0 – 1.9 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValur Reykjavik to win ✗42%2.382.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓73%1.371.22
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Half-time resultValur Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✗35%2.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valur Reykjavik / FT Valur Reykjavik ✗26%3.88–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.10–

Form

Valur Reykjavik – last 6

DWLLLW
30 Jul@ Zrinjski2–2D
23 Julvs Zrinjski1–0W
18 Julvs Fram Reykjavik2–3L
12 Jul@ FH hafnarfjordur0–2L
4 Jul@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar0–1L
28 Jun@ Thor Akureyri4–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Stjarnan – last 6

LLWLDW
30 Jul@ Ilves0–1L
26 Jul@ IA Akranes1–5L
23 Julvs Ilves1–0W
19 Jul@ KR Reykjavik0–5L
16 Jul@ Vikingur Gota2–2D
9 Julvs Vikingur Gota3–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Stjarnan v Valur Reykjavik2–4
Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stjarnan 37%.

How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 2–1 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Valur Reykjavik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.