Value bet: Stjarnan to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStjarnan to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.69
IA Akranes vs Stjarnan preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees IA Akranes take on Stjarnan on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). IA Akranes are 4th with 38 points from 27 games, while Stjarnan sit 1st on 34 points.
Form guide
IA Akranes's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Keflavik 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Stjarnan's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Ilves 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stjarnan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for IA Akranes and 2.0 for Stjarnan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: IA Akranes 36%, draw 21%, Stjarnan 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Stjarnan to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: IA Akranes 1–2 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IA Akranes36%fair 2.77 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Stjarnan43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
3.88Expected goals
1.85IA Akranes xG
2.03Stjarnan xG
72%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: IA Akranes 1.8 – 2.0 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✗
43%
2.31
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.69
–
Form
IA Akranes – last 6
LLLLLW
20 Jul
@ Keflavik
2–5
L
12 Jul
@ KA Akureyri
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs Breidablik
1–2
L
29 Jun
vs Fram Reykjavik
0–2
L
22 Jun
@ KR Reykjavik
3–5
L
16 Jun
vs Valur Reykjavik
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stjarnan – last 6
WLDWDW
23 Jul
vs Ilves
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ KR Reykjavik
0–5
L
16 Jul
@ Vikingur Gota
2–2
D
9 Jul
vs Vikingur Gota
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–2
D
28 Jun
vs KA Akureyri
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IA Akranes and Stjarnan.
What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers IA Akranes have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stjarnan 43%.
How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is IA Akranes 1–2 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is IA Akranes vs Stjarnan?
IA Akranes vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
