Value bet: Fram Reykjavik to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFram Reykjavik to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
Fram Reykjavik travel to face Valur Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild on Saturday 18 July (20:15 WAT). Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34 points from 27 games, while Fram Reykjavik sit 3rd on 47 points. A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valur Reykjavik's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to FH hafnarfjordur 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Fram Reykjavik's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Thor Akureyri 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Fram Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Fram Reykjavik 3–2 Valur Reykjavik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.4 for Valur Reykjavik and 2.4 for Fram Reykjavik. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valur Reykjavik 25%, draw 12%, Fram Reykjavik 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.30.
Value angle: Fram Reykjavik to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Valur Reykjavik 1–2 Fram Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valur Reykjavik25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Draw12%fair 8.40 · @4.20
Fram Reykjavik63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
3.88Expected goals
1.45Valur Reykjavik xG
2.44Fram Reykjavik xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–17%
1–37%
2–26%
0–26%
2–15%
From our goals model: Valur Reykjavik 1.4 – 2.4 Fram Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
On our numbers Valur Reykjavik have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Fram Reykjavik 63%.
How many goals will there be in Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Valur Reykjavik 1–2 Fram Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?
Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
