Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri preview and prediction
The match
Fram Reykjavik host Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Fram Reykjavik are 3rd with 47 points from 27 games, while Thor Akureyri sit 4th on 30 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fram Reykjavik's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Keflavik 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Thor Akureyri's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with KR Reykjavik 3–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Fram Reykjavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Thor Akureyri 1–0 Fram Reykjavik.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Fram Reykjavik and 1.2 for Thor Akureyri. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fram Reykjavik 69%, draw 19%, Thor Akureyri 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fram Reykjavik69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @5.50
Thor Akureyri12%fair 8.37 · @6.75
4.05Expected goals
2.83Fram Reykjavik xG
1.22Thor Akureyri xG
68%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Fram Reykjavik 2.8 – 1.2 Thor Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
On our numbers Fram Reykjavik have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Thor Akureyri 12%.
How many goals will there be in Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Fram Reykjavik 2–1 Thor Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
