Value bet: Stjarnan to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStjarnan to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.62
FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan preview and prediction
The match
FH hafnarfjordur host Stjarnan in the Úrvalsdeild on Friday 3 July, with kick-off at 20:15 (WAT) at Kaplakriki. FH hafnarfjordur are 3rd with 30 points from 27 games, while Stjarnan sit 1st on 34 points.
Form guide
FH hafnarfjordur's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Stjarnan's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat KA Akureyri 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Stjarnan 3–2 FH hafnarfjordur.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for FH hafnarfjordur and 2.0 for Stjarnan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Stjarnan to win at 2.45 – 44% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: FH hafnarfjordur 1–2 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FH hafnarfjordur36%fair 2.79 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Stjarnan44%fair 2.30 · @2.45
3.87Expected goals
1.83FH hafnarfjordur xG
2.03Stjarnan xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: FH hafnarfjordur 1.8 – 2.0 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers FH hafnarfjordur have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stjarnan 44%.
How many goals will there be in FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is FH hafnarfjordur 1–2 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan?
FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Kaplakriki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
