The Úrvalsdeild sees Keflavik take on Stjarnan on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Keflavik are 6th with 30 points from 27 games, while Stjarnan sit 1st on 34 points.
Form guide
Keflavik's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat IA Akranes 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Stjarnan's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat KR Reykjavik 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Keflavik arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for Keflavik and 2.0 for Stjarnan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Keflavik 1–2 Stjarnan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Keflavik35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.80
Stjarnan46%fair 2.20 · @2.10
3.78Expected goals
1.76Keflavik xG
2.02Stjarnan xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Keflavik 1.8 – 2.0 Stjarnan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✗
46%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.77
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✗
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.22
–
Form
Keflavik – last 6
WDLWWW
8 May
@ IA Akranes
3–1
W
22 Apr
vs Breidablik
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Fram Reykjavik
1–3
L
6 Mar
vs Fram Reykjavik
4–3
W
27 Feb
vs Ægir
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Vestri
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stjarnan – last 6
WLLLWW
13 May
vs KR Reykjavik
2–1
W
8 May
vs KR Reykjavik
2–3
L
27 Apr
vs Valur Reykjavik
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Vikingur Reykjavik
2–3
L
17 Apr
vs FH hafnarfjordur
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs Selfoss
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and Stjarnan.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
On our numbers Keflavik have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stjarnan 46%.
How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–2 Stjarnan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Keflavik vs Stjarnan?
Keflavik vs Stjarnan (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
