Value bet: Fram Reykjavik to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFram Reykjavik to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik preview and prediction
The match
The Úrvalsdeild sees Thor Akureyri take on Fram Reykjavik on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Thorsvollur. Thor Akureyri are 4th with 30 points from 27 games, while Fram Reykjavik sit 3rd on 47 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Thor Akureyri's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to KR Reykjavik 2–5 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Fram Reykjavik's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Keflavik 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Thor Akureyri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.6 for Thor Akureyri and 2.5 for Fram Reykjavik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thor Akureyri 26%, draw 14%, Fram Reykjavik 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Fram Reykjavik to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.40, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thor Akureyri 1–2 Fram Reykjavik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thor Akureyri26%fair 3.79 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.39 · @3.80
Fram Reykjavik60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
4.15Expected goals
1.62Thor Akureyri xG
2.53Fram Reykjavik xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.6 – 2.5 Fram Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fram Reykjavik to win✗
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Half-time result
Fram Reykjavik ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fram Reykjavik / FT Fram Reykjavik✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.25
–
Form
Thor Akureyri – last 4
LLWW
17 Apr
@ KR Reykjavik
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Fylkir
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Valur Reykjavik
5–1
W
25 Feb
@ Afturelding
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Fram Reykjavik – last 3
WLL
17 Apr
vs Keflavik
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Keflavik
3–4
L
14 Feb
@ HK Kopavogur
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thor Akureyri and Fram Reykjavik.
What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Fram Reykjavik 60%.
How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–2 Fram Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
